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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 29 August 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 15
  2. 23
  3. 30
  4. 41
  5. 43
  6. 13

JackpotZAR 2,641,026

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 500 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-08-26All recent draws2014-09-02 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed15 23 30 41 4329 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community15 23 30 41 43 + 1328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 499 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 August 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 35% of every possible ticket.

  • sum91th
  • odd89th
  • low32th
  • widest gap22th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread34th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

1566times
2357times
3053times
4150times
4350times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 25 of each

1329times

Every number was expected about that many times after 499 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 4 of 5 numbers (23, 30, 41, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 3 June 2014 — its closest relative in 499 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 7.9% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 August 2014): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

152

The numbers add up to 152 — the 90th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-08-29

  • Lines in play≈ 4.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.6Mto 118k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 36lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 836.8K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 587.6K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 784K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chanceZAR 2,641,026
  2. Match 51≈ 3.3 by chanceZAR 836,816
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24≈ 34 by chanceZAR 24,483
  4. Match 4733≈ 652 by chanceZAR 304
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,180≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 388
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,918≈ 17k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 320,806≈ 25k by chanceZAR 20.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball78,401≈ 78k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,806 winners, 18% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball78,401ZAR 10.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,918ZAR 17.00
Match 320,806ZAR 20.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,180ZAR 388
Match 4733ZAR 304
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24ZAR 24,483
Match 51ZAR 836,816
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 2,641,026