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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 25 April 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 13
  2. 15
  3. 28
  4. 29
  5. 30
  6. 7

JackpotZAR 27,138,366

The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 464 of 1,161 under them

← 2014-04-22All recent draws2014-04-29 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed13 15 28 29 3029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community13 15 28 29 30 + 728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 463 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 25 April 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

54oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 55% of every possible ticket.

  • sum50th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours97th
  • spread5th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

1354times
1562times
2853times
2936times
3049times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 23 of each

728times

Every number was expected about that many times after 463 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 15, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 December 2013 — its closest relative in 463 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 95% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (22 April 2014): 28, 30 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

115

The numbers add up to 115 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 28–29, 29–30. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-04-25

  • Lines in play≈ 6.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.4Mto 176k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 36lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.26

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 1M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 731.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 936.5K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.26 by chanceZAR 27,138,366
  2. Match 51≈ 4.9 by chanceZAR 1,041,855
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball52≈ 51 by chanceZAR 14,068
  4. Match 4733≈ 973 by chanceZAR 379
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,882≈ 2.0k by chanceZAR 303
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball26,675≈ 25k by chanceZAR 13.00
  7. Match 329,138≈ 38k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball117,059≈ 117k by chanceZAR 8.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈6.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 733 winners, 25% fewer than the 973 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball117,059ZAR 8.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball26,675ZAR 13.00
Match 329,138ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,882ZAR 303
Match 4733ZAR 379
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball52ZAR 14,068
Match 51ZAR 1,041,855
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 27,138,366