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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 3 January 2014

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 10
  2. 11
  3. 19
  4. 23
  5. 28
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 9,469,170

The crowdHeld 9% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 433 of 1,161 under them

← 2013-12-31All recent draws2014-01-07 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 11 19 23 2829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community10 11 19 23 28 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 432 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2014 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

34oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 34 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 14% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap7th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

1049times
1148times
1944times
2351times
2849times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each

328times

Every number was expected about that many times after 432 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 11, 28) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 January 2013 — its closest relative in 432 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 94% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (31 December 2013): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

11 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2014-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.0Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.2Mto 122k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.16

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 754.8K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 530K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 678.4K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.16 by chanceZAR 9,469,170
  2. Match 53≈ 3.1 by chanceZAR 251,613
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47≈ 33 by chanceZAR 11,277
  4. Match 4678≈ 627 by chanceZAR 297
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,486≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 278
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,669≈ 16k by chanceZAR 14.00
  7. Match 326,577≈ 24k by chanceZAR 14.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball75,380≈ 75k by chanceZAR 9.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.0M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,486 winners, 15% more than the 1.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball75,380ZAR 9.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,669ZAR 14.00
Match 326,577ZAR 14.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,486ZAR 278
Match 4678ZAR 297
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball47ZAR 11,277
Match 53ZAR 251,613
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 9,469,170