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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 23 April 2013

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 8
  2. 12
  3. 15
  4. 21
  5. 26
  6. 17

JackpotZAR 11,699,021

The crowdHeld 25% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 360 of 1,161 under them

← 2013-04-19All recent draws2013-04-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 12 15 21 2629 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community8 12 15 21 26 + 1728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 359 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 April 2013 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 11% of every possible ticket.

  • sum12th
  • odd32th
  • low89th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 40 of each

846times
1246times
1545times
2138times
2639times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1722times

Every number was expected about that many times after 359 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (8, 12, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 18 October 2011 — its closest relative in 359 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 April 2013): 26 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

82

The numbers add up to 82 — the 12th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 2.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2013-04-23

  • Lines in play≈ 3.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.1Mto 100k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 32lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.13

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 714.2K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 501.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 666.4K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.2M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.13 by chanceZAR 11,699,021
  2. Match 52≈ 2.5 by chanceZAR 357,093
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29≈ 27 by chanceZAR 17,292
  4. Match 4686≈ 504 by chanceZAR 278
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,109≈ 1.0k by chanceZAR 352
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,451≈ 13k by chanceZAR 18.00
  7. Match 324,499≈ 20k by chanceZAR 15.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,582≈ 61k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 686 winners, 36% more than the 504 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball60,582ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball13,451ZAR 18.00
Match 324,499ZAR 15.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,109ZAR 352
Match 4686ZAR 278
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball29ZAR 17,292
Match 52ZAR 357,093
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 11,699,021