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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 30 March 2012

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 5
  3. 10
  4. 18
  5. 39
  6. 18

JackpotZAR 12,032,312

The crowdHeld 15% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 252 of 1,161 under them

← 2012-03-27All recent draws2012-04-03 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 5 10 18 3929 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 5 10 18 39 + 1828 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 251 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

43oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 27% of every possible ticket.

  • sum8th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap84th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each

321times
524times
1032times
1832times
3927times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

1811times

Every number was expected about that many times after 251 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 18, 39) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 August 2011 — its closest relative in 251 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 81% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (27 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

75

The numbers add up to 75 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

5 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2012-03-30

  • Lines in play≈ 3.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.8Mto 109k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.15

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 886.1K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 622.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 807.4K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.15 by chanceZAR 12,032,312
  2. Match 52≈ 2.8 by chanceZAR 443,070
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31≈ 29 by chanceZAR 20,071
  4. Match 4537≈ 560 by chanceZAR 440
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,164≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 416
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,973≈ 15k by chanceZAR 20.00
  7. Match 325,041≈ 22k by chanceZAR 18.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball67,282≈ 67k by chanceZAR 12.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈3.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 25,041 winners, 15% more than the 22k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball67,282ZAR 12.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,973ZAR 20.00
Match 325,041ZAR 18.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,164ZAR 416
Match 4537ZAR 440
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball31ZAR 20,071
Match 52ZAR 443,070
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 12,032,312