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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
PowerBall · draw
ResultPowerBall
JackpotZAR 6,878,198
The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 250 of 1,161 under them
SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.
PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 249 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 March 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 59% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 28 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 249 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (6, 15, 39, 45) and 1 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 January 2010 — its closest relative in 249 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 4.0% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 March 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 128 — the 67th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →39 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 6% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 583 winners, 15% more than the 506 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | — |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 60,813 | ZAR 12.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 12,805 | ZAR 20.00 |
| Match 3 | 21,279 | ZAR 18.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 1,033 | ZAR 409 |
| Match 4 | 583 | ZAR 354 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 48 | ZAR 11,310 |
| Match 5 | 1 | ZAR 773,144 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | ZAR 6,878,198 |