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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 6 September 2011

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 2
  3. 5
  4. 30
  5. 40
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 54,740,386

The crowdHeld 17% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 193 of 1,161 under them

← 2011-09-02All recent draws2011-09-09 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 2 5 30 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 2 5 30 40 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 192 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 6 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

40oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 22% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd32th
  • low65th
  • widest gap94th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 21 of each

125times
222times
518times
3024times
4019times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 10 of each

310times

Every number was expected about that many times after 192 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 5, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 28 September 2010 — its closest relative in 192 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 72% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (2 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

78

The numbers add up to 78 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 1–2. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

1 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-09-06

  • Lines in play≈ 7.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 61.4Mto 215k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 33lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2 winnerschance said 0.29

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball89%ZAR 54.7M
  • Match 52.5%ZAR 1.5M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball2.4%ZAR 1.5M
  • 5 other tiers6.0%ZAR 3.7M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2≈ 0.29 by chanceZAR 27,370,193
  2. Match 56≈ 5.5 by chanceZAR 257,745
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball53≈ 58 by chanceZAR 20,488
  4. Match 41,112≈ 1.1k by chanceZAR 371
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,622≈ 2.3k by chanceZAR 323
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball28,805≈ 29k by chanceZAR 18.00
  7. Match 350,098≈ 43k by chanceZAR 16.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball132,309≈ 132k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈7.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 50,098 winners, 17% more than the 43k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball132,309ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball28,805ZAR 18.00
Match 350,098ZAR 16.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball2,622ZAR 323
Match 41,112ZAR 371
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball53ZAR 20,488
Match 56ZAR 257,745
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball2ZAR 27,370,193