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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 19 April 2011

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 8
  2. 14
  3. 15
  4. 16
  5. 38
  6. 2

JackpotZAR 34,239,693

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 154 of 1,161 under them

← 2011-04-15All recent draws2011-04-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 14 15 16 3829 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community8 14 15 16 38 + 228 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 153 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd9th
  • low89th
  • widest gap88th
  • neighbours97th
  • spread43th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

819times
1413times
1518times
1617times
3816times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

25times

Every number was expected about that many times after 153 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (8, 15) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 15 April 2011 — its closest relative in 153 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 April 2011): 8, 15 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

91

The numbers add up to 91 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15, 15–16. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

38 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 4% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-04-19

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.2Mto 127k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 968.7K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 680.2K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 899.3K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.6M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chanceZAR 34,239,693
  2. Match 54≈ 3.4 by chanceZAR 242,173
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33≈ 36 by chanceZAR 20,611
  4. Match 4629≈ 680 by chanceZAR 411
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,342≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 395
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,460≈ 18k by chanceZAR 19.00
  7. Match 325,798≈ 27k by chanceZAR 19.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,752≈ 82k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 629 winners, 7% fewer than the 680 an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball81,752ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,460ZAR 19.00
Match 325,798ZAR 19.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,342ZAR 395
Match 4629ZAR 411
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball33ZAR 20,611
Match 54ZAR 242,173
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 34,239,693