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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 8 April 2011

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 14
  3. 37
  4. 39
  5. 40
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 25,454,393

The crowdHeld 19% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 151 of 1,161 under them

← 2011-04-05All recent draws2011-04-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 14 37 39 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 14 37 39 40 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 150 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 April 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 38% of every possible ticket.

  • sum71th
  • odd65th
  • low32th
  • widest gap90th
  • neighbours78th
  • spread85th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 17 of each

122times
1412times
3717times
3917times
4016times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 8 of each

38times

Every number was expected about that many times after 150 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (1, 37) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 1 March 2011 — its closest relative in 150 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 April 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

131

The numbers add up to 131 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. Side-by-side numbers: 39–40. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

14 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.5× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 8% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2011-04-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.1Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.9Mto 113k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 36lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.17

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 906.5K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 636.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball22%ZAR 845.4K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.5M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.17 by chanceZAR 25,454,393
  2. Match 53≈ 3.2 by chanceZAR 302,182
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34≈ 34 by chanceZAR 18,722
  4. Match 4493≈ 639 by chanceZAR 491
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,062≈ 1.3k by chanceZAR 467
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,588≈ 17k by chanceZAR 21.00
  7. Match 320,195≈ 25k by chanceZAR 23.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,854≈ 77k by chanceZAR 11.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.1M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 493 winners, 23% fewer than the 639 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball76,854ZAR 11.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,588ZAR 21.00
Match 320,195ZAR 23.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,062ZAR 467
Match 4493ZAR 491
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34ZAR 18,722
Match 53ZAR 302,182
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 25,454,393