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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 8 October 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 16
  4. 21
  5. 40
  6. 3

JackpotZAR 59,062,479

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 99 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-10-05All recent draws2010-10-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 16 21 4029 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community3 7 16 21 40 + 328 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 98 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 October 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

47oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 47 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 36% of every possible ticket.

  • sum16th
  • odd65th
  • low89th
  • widest gap76th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread77th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 11 of each

37times
712times
1610times
2111times
4010times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 5 of each

35times

Every number was expected about that many times after 98 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (7, 21, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 April 2010 — its closest relative in 98 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 47% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 October 2010): 3 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

87

The numbers add up to 87 — the 16th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-10-08

  • Lines in play≈ 9.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 8.5Mto 280k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.39

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 2M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 1.4M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 1.8M
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 3.3M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.39 by chanceZAR 59,062,479
  2. Match 58≈ 7.4 by chanceZAR 249,421
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball105≈ 77 by chanceZAR 13,343
  4. Match 41,492≈ 1.5k by chanceZAR 357
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,252≈ 3.0k by chanceZAR 336
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball39,866≈ 38k by chanceZAR 17.00
  7. Match 358,464≈ 57k by chanceZAR 17.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball176,991≈ 177k by chanceZAR 10.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈9.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 3,252 winners, 8% more than the 3.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball176,991ZAR 10.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball39,866ZAR 17.00
Match 358,464ZAR 17.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,252ZAR 336
Match 41,492ZAR 357
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball105ZAR 13,343
Match 58ZAR 249,421
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 59,062,479