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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Tuesday, 3 August 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 6
  3. 15
  4. 35
  5. 44
  6. 20

JackpotZAR 16,447,363

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 80 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-07-30All recent draws2010-08-06 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed1 6 15 35 4429 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community1 6 15 35 44 + 2028 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 79 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 August 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 48% of every possible ticket.

  • sum31th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap81th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread98th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 9 of each

110times
69times
1510times
357times
4410times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 4 of each

203times

Every number was expected about that many times after 79 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 35, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 30 April 2010 — its closest relative in 79 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 40% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 July 2010): nothing carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

101

The numbers add up to 101 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

35 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-08-03

  • Lines in play≈ 4.4Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 4.6Mto 128k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 34lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.18

Where the money went

  • Match 523%ZAR 1.1M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%ZAR 759.4K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 985.4K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.8M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.18 by chanceZAR 16,447,363
  2. Match 52≈ 3.4 by chanceZAR 540,778
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24≈ 36 by chanceZAR 31,643
  4. Match 4617≈ 683 by chanceZAR 468
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,266≈ 1.4k by chanceZAR 467
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,943≈ 18k by chanceZAR 22.00
  7. Match 326,787≈ 27k by chanceZAR 21.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,118≈ 82k by chanceZAR 12.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.4M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 1,266 winners, 10% fewer than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball82,118ZAR 12.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,943ZAR 22.00
Match 326,787ZAR 21.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,266ZAR 467
Match 4617ZAR 468
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24ZAR 31,643
Match 52ZAR 540,778
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 16,447,363