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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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PowerBall · draw

Friday, 14 May 2010

ResultPowerBall

Verified
  1. 6
  2. 8
  3. 15
  4. 32
  5. 42
  6. 7

JackpotZAR 15,620,625

The crowdHeld 34% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018draw 57 of 1,161 under them

← 2010-05-11All recent draws2010-05-18 →

Where this result came from

SourcesSources disagree on this draw — Primary reports different numbers. The reading most sources give is shown. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:57 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed6 8 15 32 4229 Aug 2026, 09:36 UTCdiffers
  • Backup 3community6 8 15 32 42 + 728 Aug 2026, 21:01 UTC
Drawn under earlier rules

PowerBall was a 5/45 + 1/20 · Oct 2009 – Jun 2018 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 56 draws before it — not against today’s pool.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 May 2010 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum34th
  • odd9th
  • low65th
  • widest gap65th
  • neighbours31th
  • spread72th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 6 of each

65times
86times
157times
328times
4214times
Stars · a separate 1-of-20 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 3 of each

73times

Every number was expected about that many times after 56 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (15, 42) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 April 2010 — its closest relative in 56 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (11 May 2010): 42 carried over. Chance says 46% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (5% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

103

The numbers add up to 103 — the 33th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 115. No two numbers side by side. 39% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

8 had not appeared for 17 draws. A number waits about 9 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 5% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2010-05-14

  • Lines in play≈ 5.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid outZAR 3.7Mto 137k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 38lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.21

Where the money went

  • Match 524%ZAR 868K
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball17%ZAR 609.5K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball21%ZAR 771.4K
  • 4 other tiers39%ZAR 1.4M
Tier1101001k10k100kWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.21 by chanceZAR 15,620,625
  2. Match 51≈ 4.0 by chanceZAR 868,029
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34≈ 42 by chanceZAR 17,926
  4. Match 4478≈ 802 by chanceZAR 484
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,262≈ 1.6k by chanceZAR 376
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,549≈ 21k by chanceZAR 16.00
  7. Match 320,700≈ 31k by chanceZAR 21.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball96,430≈ 96k by chanceZAR 8.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 478 winners, 40% fewer than the 802 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0—
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball96,430ZAR 8.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,549ZAR 16.00
Match 320,700ZAR 21.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,262ZAR 376
Match 4478ZAR 484
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball34ZAR 17,926
Match 51ZAR 868,029
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0ZAR 15,620,625