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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · every number · star deck
In Lotto under the 6/58 + 1/56 · since Sep 2025 rules — 109 draws, 1 from 1–56.
Drawn 2 times in 109 draws against 1.9 expected, +0.04σ. Each draw is independent: after 49 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
Drawn 2 times in 109 draws · average wait 30.0 draws · longest completed wait 30 · waiting 49 draws now
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Too few completed waits to plot a distribution for this number alone.
Sort a draw and 40 has a favourite seat — chance gives a large number the high positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
No shared draws yet.
Never drawn alongside 55 of the other 55 numbers; chance expects about 55 such strangers by now. Every pair →
Under the crowd model, 40 is picked about 0.90× as often as an indifferent choice — 32nd most popular of 56. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
The model and its sources → · What people believe about 40 →
| Date | Wait | Position | The draw |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | 30 | 1st | 40 |
| 2026-01-10 | — | 1st | 40 |
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 40 is drawn with probability 1/56 tonight whatever it did last week.