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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw · plus 1
plus 1Lotto
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 182 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 181 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 1 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 181 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (5, 42, 43) with the draw of 13 April 2011 — its closest relative in 181 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 97% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (28 September 2011): 30 carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 139 — the 37th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 9–10, 42–43. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →5 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 4 — 5,570 winners, 9% fewer than the 6.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 + Bonus | 1 | ZAR 832,882 |
| 5 | 102 | ZAR 7,402 |
| 4 + Bonus | 272 | ZAR 2,346 |
| 4 | 5,570 | ZAR 149 |
| 3 + Bonus | 8,417 | ZAR 98.00 |
| 3 | 109,040 | ZAR 10.00 |