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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
JackpotZAR 1,082,774
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 179 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 178 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 34% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 22 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 178 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (10, 27, 30) with the draw of 6 July 2011 — its closest relative in 178 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (17 September 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 148 — the 47th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →19 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈3.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 4,957 winners, 6% more than the 4.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 1 | ZAR 1,082,774 |
| 5 + Bonus | 4 | ZAR 59,330 |
| 5 | 54 | ZAR 9,888 |
| 4 + Bonus | 186 | ZAR 1,594 |
| 4 | 3,383 | ZAR 293 |
| 3 + Bonus | 4,957 | ZAR 131 |
| 3 | 62,488 | ZAR 34.00 |