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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Lotto · draw
ResultLotto
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017draw 105 of 1,577 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
Lotto was a 6/49 + 1/49 · Jan 2010 – Aug 2017 game then. Everything on this page reads the draw against those rules and the 104 draws before it — not against today’s pool.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 5 January 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 104 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 6 numbers (1, 8, 33) with the draw of 27 October 2010 — its closest relative in 104 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 86% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 January 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 78 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. No two numbers side by side. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈5.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: 3 + Bonus — 9,245 winners, 29% more than the 7.2k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | 0 | ZAR 0.00 |
| 5 + Bonus | 4 | ZAR 74,552 |
| 5 | 133 | ZAR 5,044 |
| 4 + Bonus | 396 | ZAR 941 |
| 4 | 6,455 | ZAR 193 |
| 3 + Bonus | 9,245 | ZAR 88.00 |
| 3 | 95,752 | ZAR 28.00 |