Wednesday, 20 July 2011

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 6 numbers (6, 11, 49) with the draw of 12 June 2010 — its closest relative in 134 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (16 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 93 — the 4th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 150. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11. 50% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

10 had not appeared for 28 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.