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Match 4 · draw

Wednesday, 9 October 2024

ResultMatch 4

Single source
  1. 8
  2. 11
  3. 20
  4. 21

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 5,391 of 6,129 under them

← 2024-10-08All recent draws2024-10-10 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed8 11 20 2129 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 9 October 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

75oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 75 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 92% of every possible ticket.

  • sum77th
  • odd50th
  • low50th
  • widest gap56th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread33th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 898 of each

8909times
11884times
20906times
21888times

Every number was expected about that many times after 5,390 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Prize breakdown · 2024-10-09

  • Lines in play≈ 23kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$27.9Kto 2.6k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 42 winnerschance said 2.1

Where the money went

  • Match 472%$20K
  • Match 311%$3.1K
  • Match 217%$4.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 42≈ 2.1 by chance$10,000
  2. Match 3

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (11, 20, 21) with the draw of 18 October 2023 — its closest relative in 5,390 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (8 October 2024): 8, 20 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

60

The numbers add up to 60 — the 76th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
153≈ 170 by chance
$20.00
  • Match 22,417≈ 2.4k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈23k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,417 winners, 0% more than the 2.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 42$10,000
    Match 3153$20.00
    Match 22,417$2.00
    Totals2,572—