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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · WA · ball game
Latest drawMonday, 12 October 2026
Jackpot$10,000
Top prizeWon by 3 tickets
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 13 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC.
4 numbers from 1–24. 6,123 draws held here since 2010-01-01.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Match 4 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Match 4 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 6,123 draws every number is expected about 1,021 times, and a ball favoured by more than 11% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 6 draws on average; 5% of the time it waits 18 or more. It is never “due”.

The 4 numbers add up to about 50, give or take 13. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

43.7% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

276 possible pairs, each expected together 133.1 times so far — and about 3 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 24 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

54% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 100.0% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 5.0 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 22 draws for every one of the 24 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

10,626 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 6,123 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 5, the highest near 20. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

4/24 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 0% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 210 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 4/24 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

Lock a past-only rule, score it on later draws, and compare every hit with the exact 4-of-24 overlap law.

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 12 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (3, 7, 24) with the draw of 7 October 2026 — its closest relative in 6,122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2026): 3, 7 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 40 — the 22th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 2 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈30k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 3,165 winners, 0% more than the 3.2k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 4 | 3 | $10,000 |
| Match 3 | 244 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 | 3,165 | $2.00 |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 0 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 0.3 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 13 Oct 2026, 09:45 UTC.
Scored 42 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 24% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,122 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0 | 3,524 | 3,517.3 |
| 1 | 826 | 840.1 |
| 2 | 210 | 200.6 |
| 3 | 43 | 47.9 |
| 4 | 15 | 11.4 |
| 5 | 3 | 2.7 |
| 6 | 0 | 0.7 |
| 7 | 0 | 0.2 |
| 8 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 9 | 0 | 0.0 |
| 10+ | 0 | 0.0 |
Shares 3 of 4 numbers (3, 7, 24) with the draw of 7 October 2026 — its closest relative in 6,122 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (11 October 2026): 3, 7 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Scored 54 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 49% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,121 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (7, 10, 22) with the draw of 18 December 2025 — its closest relative in 6,121 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): 10 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 42 — the 26th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.9× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 26% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,120 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (6, 8, 10) with the draw of 2 June 2026 — its closest relative in 6,120 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): 24 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 48 — the 43th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 50 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 41% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,119 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (2, 4, 24) with the draw of 25 April 2026 — its closest relative in 6,119 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 44 — the 31th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →14 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 67 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,118 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →This exact draw has happened before, on 12 May 2011. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 54 — the 60th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →8 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,020 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,117 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →This exact draw has happened before, on 9 February 2025. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): 17 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 51 — the 51th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 70 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 86% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,019 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,116 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (6, 11, 17) with the draw of 25 January 2026 — its closest relative in 6,116 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 50 — the 49th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 16–17. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 40 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 21% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,019 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,115 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (3, 7, 12) with the draw of 25 September 2026 — its closest relative in 6,115 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2026): 12 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 37 — the 15th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,019 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,114 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →This exact draw has happened before, on 4 May 2015. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): 2 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 27 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →12 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 42% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,019 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,113 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (2, 20, 21) with the draw of 7 September 2026 — its closest relative in 6,113 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 58 — the 71th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 57% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,019 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,112 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →This exact draw has happened before, on 17 January 2017. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 74 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 22–23. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →22 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 53% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 1,019 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 6,111 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →This exact draw has happened before, on 3 December 2021. Chance gave a match this close a 44% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 32 — the 8th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 18 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →