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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Match 4 · draw
ResultMatch 4
Jackpot$30,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 1,032 of 6,124 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 28 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 172 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,031 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (9, 13, 21) with the draw of 14 August 2012 — its closest relative in 1,031 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (27 October 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 61 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,357 winners, 0% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 4 | 3 | $10,000 |
| Match 3 | 105 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 | 1,357 | $2.00 |
| Totals | 1,465 | — |