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Match 4 · draw

Thursday, 18 October 2012

ResultMatch 4

Single source
  1. 11
  2. 16
  3. 21
  4. 23

Jackpot$10,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 1,022 of 6,123 under them

← 2012-10-17All recent draws2012-10-19 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed11 16 21 2329 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 October 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

36oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.

  • sum95th
  • odd83th
  • low17th
  • widest gap14th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 170 of each

11175times
16173times
21182times
23164times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,021 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Prize breakdown · 2012-10-18

  • Lines in play≈ 15kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$5.0Kto 1.7k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 40 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 334%$1.7K
  • Match 266%$3.3K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 40≈ 1.5 by chance$10,000
  2. Match 385≈ 117 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (16, 21, 23) with the draw of 8 August 2012 — its closest relative in 1,021 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 October 2012): 21, 23 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

71

The numbers add up to 71 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

16 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$20.00
  • Match 21,662≈ 1.7k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈15k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,662 winners, 0% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 40$10,000
    Match 385$20.00
    Match 21,662$2.00
    Totals1,747—