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Match 4 · draw

Sunday, 30 September 2012

ResultMatch 4

Single source
  1. 3
  2. 7
  3. 14
  4. 15

Jackpot$10,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 1,004 of 6,123 under them

← 2012-09-29All recent draws2012-10-01 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed3 7 14 1529 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 30 September 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd83th
  • low50th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours75th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 167 of each

3171times
7151times
14155times
15159times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,003 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Prize breakdown · 2012-09-30

  • Lines in play≈ 13kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$14.7Kto 1.5k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 41 winnerchance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 468%$10.0K
  • Match 314%$2.0K
  • Match 218%$2.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 41≈ 1.2 by chance$10,000
  2. Match 3

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (7, 14, 15) with the draw of 18 May 2012 — its closest relative in 1,003 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (29 September 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

39

The numbers add up to 39 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 14–15. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 11 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
101≈ 95 by chance
$20.00
  • Match 21,350≈ 1.4k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,350 winners, 0% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 41$10,000
    Match 3101$20.00
    Match 21,350$2.00
    Totals1,452—