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Match 4 · draw

Saturday, 11 August 2012

ResultMatch 4

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 15
  3. 20
  4. 22

Jackpot$20,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 954 of 6,123 under them

← 2012-08-10All recent draws2012-08-12 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 15 20 2229 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 August 2012 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

33oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 33 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 12% of every possible ticket.

  • sum93th
  • odd17th
  • low17th
  • widest gap14th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread15th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 159 of each

12155times
15148times
20162times
22157times

Every number was expected about that many times after 953 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Prize breakdown · 2012-08-11

  • Lines in play≈ 16kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$25.5Kto 1.8k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 42 winnerschance said 1.5

Where the money went

  • Match 479%$20.0K
  • Match 38.2%$2.1K
  • Match 213%$3.4K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 42≈ 1.5 by chance$10,000
  2. Match 3

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (12, 20, 22) with the draw of 8 September 2011 — its closest relative in 953 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2012): 12 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

69

The numbers add up to 69 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

15 had not appeared for 10 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
104≈ 118 by chance
$20.00
  • Match 21,688≈ 1.7k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,688 winners, 0% more than the 1.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 42$10,000
    Match 3104$20.00
    Match 21,688$2.00
    Totals1,794—