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Match 4 · draw

Sunday, 16 October 2011

ResultMatch 4

Single source
  1. 7
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 19

Jackpot$20,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 654 of 6,123 under them

← 2011-10-15All recent draws2011-10-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed7 17 18 1929 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 October 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

39oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.

  • sum80th
  • odd83th
  • low17th
  • widest gap67th
  • neighbours97th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 109 of each

793times
1798times
18127times
19103times

Every number was expected about that many times after 653 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Prize breakdown · 2011-10-16

  • Lines in play≈ 13kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$24.3Kto 1.4k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 42 winnerschance said 1.2

Where the money went

  • Match 482%$20.0K
  • Match 36.4%$1.6K
  • Match 211%$2.7K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 42≈ 1.2 by chance$10,000
  2. Match 3

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (7, 18, 19) with the draw of 30 July 2010 — its closest relative in 653 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 October 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

61

The numbers add up to 61 — the 78th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18, 18–19. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

18 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
78≈ 96 by chance
$20.00
  • Match 21,365≈ 1.4k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈13k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,365 winners, 0% more than the 1.4k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 42$10,000
    Match 378$20.00
    Match 21,365$2.00
    Totals1,445—