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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Match 4 · draw
ResultMatch 4
Jackpot$10,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 626 of 6,124 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 September 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 104 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 625 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Where the money went
The rings take the ≈15k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,627 winners, 0% more than the 1.6k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 4 | 1 | $10,000 |
| Match 3 | 98 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 | 1,627 | $2.00 |
| Totals | 1,726 | — |