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Match 4 · draw

Friday, 15 July 2011

ResultMatch 4

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 19
  3. 22
  4. 24

Jackpot$10,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 561 of 6,123 under them

← 2011-07-14All recent draws2011-07-16 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 19 22 2429 Aug 2026, 09:35 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

41oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 41 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 23% of every possible ticket.

  • sum98th
  • odd17th
  • low17th
  • widest gap33th
  • neighbours28th
  • spread26th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 93 of each

1287times
1984times
2298times
2487times

Every number was expected about that many times after 560 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Prize breakdown · 2011-07-15

  • Lines in play≈ 18kas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$6.2Kto 2.0k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 9lines took a prize
  • Match 40 winnerschance said 1.7

Where the money went

  • Match 339%$2.4K
  • Match 261%$3.8K
Tier1101001k10kWinners1101001k10kPrize each
  1. Match 40≈ 1.7 by chance$10,000
  2. Match 3122≈ 133 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 4 numbers (12, 19, 24) with the draw of 9 July 2010 — its closest relative in 560 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (14 July 2011): nothing carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

77

The numbers add up to 77 — the 98th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

22 had not appeared for 5 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$20.00
  • Match 21,901≈ 1.9k by chance$2.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈18k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 1,901 winners, 0% more than the 1.9k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 40$10,000
    Match 3122$20.00
    Match 21,901$2.00
    Totals2,023—