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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Match 4 · draw
ResultMatch 4
Jackpot$20,000
The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules4/24 · since Jan 2010draw 412 of 6,124 under them
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:56 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 16 February 2011 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 64% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 69 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 411 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 4 numbers (2, 6, 11) with the draw of 29 November 2010 — its closest relative in 411 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 96% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (15 February 2011): 2 carried over. Chance says 54% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 36 — the 14th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 50. No two numbers side by side. 44% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 6 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.5× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 0% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈19k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,049 winners, 0% more than the 2.0k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 4 | 2 | $10,000 |
| Match 3 | 156 | $20.00 |
| Match 2 | 2,049 | $2.00 |
| Totals | 2,207 | — |