Number 4

In Megabucks Plus under the 5/41 + 1/6 · since Apr 2010 rules — 1,884 draws, 5 from 1–41.

245times drawn · chance expected 230 +1.07σ

10draws waiting · a wait this long: 31% for any number

7.6average wait between appearances · chance says 8.2

36longest completed wait · 92% chance of one at least that long

4 is drawn as often as chance explains

Drawn 245 times in 1,884 draws against 229.8 expected, +1.07σ. Each draw is independent: after 10 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.

Number 4, draw by draw

Drawn 245 times in 1,884 draws · average wait 7.6 draws · longest completed wait 36 · waiting 10 draws now

a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap

Where it lands in a sorted draw

Sort a draw and 4 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.

1st smallest168 · chance 177.1
2nd smallest71 · chance 62.5
3rd smallest6 · chance 5.4
4th smallest0 · chance 0.1
5th smallest0 · chance 0.0

Every position’s lane →

The company it keeps

Seen most often with these — chance gives every partner about 24.5 shared draws, and the leaders are simply the ones that came out ahead this time.

2 38 5 34 18 23

It has shared a draw with every one of the other 40 numbers; chance expected about 0.0 still unmet by now. Every pair →

How many people play it

Under the crowd model, 4 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 41. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.

Numbers 1–31 — the birthday zone ×1.22
Numbers 1–12 — day and month overlap ×1.10

The model and its sources → · What people believe about 4 →

Every draw it appeared in

Date	Wait	Position	The draw
2026-09-19	7	1st	4 8 24 36 37
2026-09-02	18	1st	4 12 19 32 41
2026-07-22	24	1st	4 6 13 18 30
2026-05-27	12	1st	4 14

What this cannot tell you

Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 4 is drawn with probability 5/41 tonight whatever it did last week.

2025-04-30	4	1st	4 9 14 21 29
2025-04-21	5	1st	4 6 18 28 41
2025-04-09	3	1st	4 14 21 30 37
2025-04-02	2	1st	4 13 22 23 36
2025-03-29	2	1st	4 18 36 37 39
2025-03-24	1	3rd	2 3 4 8 19
2025-03-22	19	2nd	2 4 21 22 34
2025-02-05	8	1st	4 11 20 33 34
2025-01-18	12	2nd	2 4 16 21 32
2024-12-21	16	2nd	2 4 6 7 20
2024-11-13	10	1st	4 5 23 35 39
2024-10-21	8	2nd	2 4 23 25 36
2024-10-02	16	1st	4 6 13 19 35
2024-08-26	4	1st	4 10 14 30 38
2024-08-17	13	2nd	2 4 17 19 33
2024-07-17	12	1st	4 5 11 12 35
2024-06-19	16	2nd	2 4 9 10 12
2024-05-13	2	1st	4 5 19 21 34
2024-05-08	6	1st	4 6 17 25 27
2024-04-24	13	1st	4 17 24 25 36
2024-03-25	1	1st	4 16 18 19 30
2024-03-23	3	1st	4 5 8 15 23
2024-03-16	8	1st	4 17 28 33 37
2024-02-26	12	1st	4 15 23 28 31
2024-01-29	1	1st	4 5 15 23 35
2024-01-27	1	3rd	1 3 4 22 24
2024-01-24	10	2nd	2 4 21 24 26
2024-01-01	8	1st	4 16 22 25 40
2023-12-13	3	2nd	3 4 12 17 28
2023-12-06	1	2nd	1 4 21 26 40
2023-12-04	9	1st	4 17 18 19 24
2023-11-13	3	1st	4 8 9 12 41
2023-11-06	5	1st	4 5 6 12 24
2023-10-25	6	1st	4 30 32 33 35
2023-10-11	16	2nd	3 4 12 20 34
2023-08-30	4	2nd	2 4 6 14 29
2023-08-16	18	1st	4 8 13 17 32
2023-06-14	4	2nd	3 4 13 16 35
2023-05-31	2	1st	4 14 27 29 40
2023-05-24	14	3rd	2 3 4 12 25
2023-04-05	14	1st	4 10 26 28 38
2023-02-15	7	1st	4 13 14 15 25
2023-01-21	1	2nd	2 4 14 23 31
2023-01-18	17	1st	4 20 27 38 39
2022-11-19	3	1st	4 5 9 32 39
2022-11-09	28	2nd	1 4 20 32 33
2022-08-03	1	2nd	3 4 7 25 35
2022-07-30	8	3rd	1 3 4 30 38
2022-07-02	5	1st	4 8 12 18 21
2022-06-15	24	1st	4 27 33 34 36
2022-03-23	4	1st	4 7 8 9 30
2022-03-09	1	1st	4 15 29 31 36
2022-03-05	1	1st	4 19 22 25 40
2022-03-02	11	1st	4 8 18 23 38
2022-01-22	8	2nd	2 4 11 24 32
2021-12-25	3	1st	4 8 13 17 36
2021-12-15	6	1st	4 6 20 31 32
2021-11-24	17	1st	4 16 33 38 41
2021-09-25	1	1st	4 16 23 25 37
2021-09-22	5	2nd	2 4 25 26 33
2021-09-04	6	1st	4 25 34 35 38
2021-08-14	5	2nd	1 4 11 37 39
2021-07-28	3	2nd	2 4 17 30 38
2021-07-17	8	2nd	3 4 9 10 14
2021-06-19	7	2nd	1 4 12 24 26
2021-05-26	3	1st	4 11 26 28 38
2021-05-15	6	1st	4 16 21 31 36
2021-04-24	5	2nd	2 4 14 20 22
2021-04-07	6	1st	4 9 11 12 27
2021-03-17	6	1st	4 6 8 13 27
2021-02-24	2	1st	4 7 12 16 35
2021-02-17	16	1st	4 5 8 17 38
2020-12-23	7	1st	4 8 16 21 29
2020-11-28	11	1st	4 11 14 20 31
2020-10-21	12	1st	4 16 26 36 40
2020-09-09	6	1st	4 17 23 35 41
2020-08-19	3	2nd	3 4 25 33 38
2020-08-08	3	2nd	2 4 29 31 38
2020-07-29	15	2nd	1 4 10 11 29
2020-06-06	1	1st	4 21 34 37 38
2020-06-03	7	1st	4 11 13 32 34
2020-05-09	36	3rd	1 3 4 9 24
2020-01-04	1	1st	4 15 19 29 37
2020-01-01	4	1st	4 7 9 24 27
2019-12-18	8	2nd	2 4 8 17 30
2019-11-20	3	2nd	2 4 15 28 29
2019-11-09	12	1st	4 12 18 28 38
2019-09-28	3	1st	4 13 18 27 30
2019-09-18	9	1st	4 13 22 34 38
2019-08-17	4	1st	4 10 13 20 41
2019-08-03	20	2nd	1 4 6 25 26
2019-05-25	5	2nd	2 4 19 23 31
2019-05-08	3	2nd	1 4 16 31 37
2019-04-27	7	1st	4 17 27 31 40
2019-04-03	5	2nd	3 4 24 28 38
2019-03-16	10	1st	4 6 19 25 31
2019-02-09	2	2nd	3 4 8 20 27
2019-02-02	6	1st	4 17 30 34 35
2019-01-12	2	2nd	3 4 32 36 38
2019-01-05	22	2nd	3 4 14 17 39
2018-10-20	6	1st	4 7 10 20 36
2018-09-29	1	1st	4 11 18 28 34
2018-09-26	7	2nd	3 4 10 20 36
2018-09-01	20	1st	4 12 21 26 36
2018-06-23	1	1st	4 12 23 28 38
2018-06-20	3	1st	4 5 15 23 36
2018-06-09	1	1st	4 5 10 22 39
2018-06-06	3	1st	4 5 12 13 39
2018-05-26	25	1st	4 7 18 31 35
2018-02-28	13	2nd	3 4 18 30 39
2018-01-13	6	1st	4 11 39 40 41
2017-12-23	6	1st	4 10 21 31 33
2017-12-02	1	1st	4 26 29 37 38
2017-11-29	9	1st	4 9 15 16 19
2017-10-28	1	2nd	3 4 15 22 40
2017-10-25	9	1st	4 10 14 15 38
2017-09-23	1	1st	4 14 15 27 31
2017-09-20	5	1st	4 11 13 18 30
2017-09-02	3	1st	4 9 15 16 40
2017-08-23	2	1st	4 20 23 35 37
2017-08-16	8	2nd	2 4 12 30 38
2017-07-19	6	2nd	2 4 6 21 33
2017-06-28	6	1st	4 26 27 30 31
2017-06-07	6	1st	4 8 12 16 22
2017-05-17	6	2nd	3 4 12 15 41
2017-04-26	8	2nd	2 4 10 34 36
2017-03-29	1	2nd	3 4 21 24 40
2017-03-25	18	2nd	2 4 19 24 32
2017-01-21	6	1st	4 11 20 25 35
2016-12-31	7	2nd	3 4 7 9 37
2016-12-07	7	1st	4 7 11 22 38
2016-11-12	3	1st	4 5 7 10 39
2016-11-02	30	1st	4 17 25 29 33
2016-07-20	7	1st	4 11 15 27 32
2016-06-25	4	1st	4 15 17 38 40
2016-06-11	9	1st	4 5 34 36 41
2016-05-11	8	1st	4 11 19 21 29
2016-04-13	16	1st	4 25 34 37 38
2016-02-17	1	2nd	3 4 11 13 17
2016-02-13	6	1st	4 11 19 28 31
2016-01-23	4	1st	4 9 13 27 33
2016-01-09	1	3rd	1 2 4 25 28
2016-01-06	7	1st	4 5 13 26 34
2015-12-12	5	1st	4 18 19 30 33
2015-11-25	5	2nd	2 4 5 12 33
2015-11-07	3	2nd	1 4 6 23 30
2015-10-28	14	1st	4 14 20 26 30
2015-09-09	6	1st	4 7 19 22 26
2015-08-19	5	1st	4 7 14 30 31
2015-08-01	2	2nd	3 4 5 12 17
2015-07-25	21	1st	4 8 24 26 38
2015-05-13	10	2nd	2 4 10 21 27
2015-04-08	8	1st	4 7 10 13 38
2015-03-11	9	1st	4 6 16 33 39
2015-02-07	1	2nd	2 4 11 22 27
2015-02-04	8	1st	4 6 12 27 32
2015-01-07	3	1st	4 11 21 23 24
2014-12-27	4	1st	4 6 26 30 40
2014-12-13	4	2nd	3 4 6 34 40
2014-11-29	1	1st	4 24 27 28 34
2014-11-26	1	1st	4 6 9 13 14
2014-11-22	11	2nd	2 4 15 18 34
2014-10-15	10	2nd	1 4 5 7 24
2014-09-10	15	1st	4 5 23 29 30
2014-07-19	5	1st	4 7 10 11 27
2014-07-02	10	1st	4 18 19 21 26
2014-05-28	10	1st	4 10 22 34 37
2014-04-23	18	1st	4 10 13 27 37
2014-02-19	2	1st	4 11 17 18 28
2014-02-12	24	2nd	1 4 5 18 41
2013-11-20	3	2nd	1 4 7 10 31
2013-11-09	6	1st	4 21 34 37 41
2013-10-19	3	1st	4 5 10 12 18
2013-10-09	1	1st	4 21 31 34 38
2013-10-05	10	1st	4 6 25 26 35
2013-08-31	5	1st	4 10 16 26 33
2013-08-14	4	1st	4 11 18 28 29
2013-07-31	18	1st	4 9 32 35 40
2013-05-29	2	1st	4 7 10 15 24
2013-05-22	1	1st	4 15 21 33 35
2013-05-18	14	1st	4 14 20 28 30
2013-03-30	1	2nd	1 4 14 18 27
2013-03-27	2	1st	4 5 9 36 39
2013-03-20	3	1st	4 7 23 31 37
2013-03-09	5	1st	4 6 11 15 18
2013-02-20	5	1st	4 6 13 14 41
2013-02-02	8	1st	4 16 19 20 29
2013-01-05	8	1st	4 5 6 34 35
2012-12-08	4	1st	4 8 14 25 35
2012-11-24	12	1st	4 10 31 34 35
2012-10-13	3	1st	4 10 13 19 23
2012-10-03	9	1st	4 7 8 14 31
2012-09-01	16	2nd	2 4 8 13 19
2012-07-04	25	1st	4 18 22 24 38
2012-04-07	2	1st	4 6 13 21 36
2012-03-31	7	1st	4 19 26 27 36
2012-03-07	7	1st	4 6 7 13 18
2012-02-11	1	1st	4 6 17 26 32
2012-02-08	2	2nd	2 4 9 14 17
2012-02-01	14	1st	4 5 16 25 41
2011-12-14	16	1st	4 7 9 22 40
2011-10-19	2	2nd	1 4 23 30 39
2011-10-12	13	1st	4 12 23 30 36
2011-08-27	6	1st	4 13 21 24 36
2011-08-06	17	1st	4 18 21 24 28
2011-06-08	7	1st	4 7 15 22 34
2011-05-14	2	1st	4 5 6 8 26
2011-05-07	4	2nd	1 4 9 18 30
2011-04-23	3	1st	4 26 34 36 41
2011-04-13	9	1st	4 7 10 33 38
2011-03-12	4	2nd	3 4 5 17 22
2011-02-26	2	1st	4 5 20 33 40
2011-02-19	2	1st	4 7 11 18 25
2011-02-12	7	2nd	1 4 16 18 38
2011-01-19	9	1st	4 27 30 39 41
2010-12-18	20	1st	4 10 35 37 40
2010-10-09	24	1st	4 5 16 23 33
2010-07-17	4	2nd	1 4 19 22 24
2010-07-03	8	1st	4 14 21 23 29
2010-06-05	3	1st	4 23 32 33 35
2010-05-26	—	1st	4 20 27 34 36