In Cash Pop under the 1/15 · since Sep 2022 rules — 547 draws, 1 from 1–15.
34times drawn · chance expected 36 −0.42σ
0draws waiting — it came up last time
16.1average wait between appearances · chance says 15.0
55longest completed wait · 55% chance of one at least that long
2 is drawn as often as chance explains
Drawn 34 times in 547 draws against 36.5 expected, −0.42σ. Each draw is independent: after 0 draws away it is exactly as likely tonight as a number drawn yesterday.
2
Number 2, draw by draw
Drawn 34 times in 547 draws · average wait 16.1 draws · longest completed wait 55 · drawn in the most recent draw
a completed wait — darker is longer the wait still running — a lower bound, not a finished gap
Where it lands in a sorted draw
Sort a draw and 2 has a favourite seat — chance gives a small number the low positions more often. That is the shape of sorting, not of the machine.
Never drawn alongside 14 of the other 14 numbers; chance expects about 14 such strangers by now. Every pair →
How many people play it
Under the crowd model, 2 is picked about 1.34× as often as an indifferent choice — 6th most popular of 15. That changes nothing about whether it comes up, and everything about how many ways a jackpot on it would be shared.
Nothing here predicts the next draw. A number’s history is a record of a fair machine’s past, and the machine keeps none of it: 2 is drawn with probability 1/15 tonight whatever it did last week.