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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · TN · ball game
Latest drawSunday, 11 October 2026
Jackpot$480,000
Top prizeNot won — 51 draws unwonnext draw advertised at $490,000
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 12 Oct 2026, 09:20 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–38. 1,429 draws held here since 2022-11-13.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Daily Tennessee Jackpot come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Daily Tennessee Jackpot already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 1,429 draws every number is expected about 188 times, and a ball favoured by more than 28% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 4% of the time it waits 23 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 98, give or take 23. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

44.6% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

703 possible pairs, each expected together 20.3 times so far — and about 7 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 38 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

53% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 86.9% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.5 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 31 draws for every one of the 38 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

501,942 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 1,429 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 33. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/38 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/38 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 11 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,428 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (12, 20, 22, 24) with the draw of 16 February 2025 — its closest relative in 1,428 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (10 October 2026): 20, 24 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 20–21, 21–22. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →21 had not appeared for 7 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈25k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 2,675 winners, 0% more than the 2.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $480,000 |
| Match 4 | 10 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 259 | $5.00 |
| Match 2 | 2,675 | $1.00 |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
Open any draw to read it by every tool — the same six readings the latest result gets above, each against what chance predicted at the time.
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 12 Oct 2026, 09:20 UTC.
Scored 29 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,428 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
These waits do not fall away from zero the way the law does — they pile up in the middle. That is what happens when the chance of a win is not the same on every draw of a run: few tickets are sold when the prize is small, and so many when it is enormous that a win becomes close to certain. The wait is more predictable than a constant chance allows, and less predictable than it feels.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–3 | 6 | 9.9 |
| 4–7 | 7 | 8.1 |
| 8–11 | 10 | 6.6 |
| 12–15 | 5 | 5.4 |
| 16–19 | 4 | 4.4 |
| 20–23 | 5 | 3.6 |
| 24–27 | 1 | 2.9 |
| 28–31 | 5 | 2.4 |
| 32–35 | 2 | 2.0 |
| 36–39 | 2 | 1.6 |
| 40+ | 7 | 7.1 |
Scored 43 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 28% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,427 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 24, 33) with the draw of 27 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,427 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (9 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 114 — the 75th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 23–24. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →24 had not appeared for 22 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 20% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,426 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 12, 15) with the draw of 18 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,426 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (8 October 2026): 11, 12 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 79 — the 21th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 10–11, 11–12. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →15 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.1× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 55 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 58% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 188 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,425 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (5, 12, 27, 29) with the draw of 11 July 2025 — its closest relative in 1,425 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (7 October 2026): 5, 27 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 84 — the 28th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →11 had not appeared for 6 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 7% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,424 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 27, 36) with the draw of 10 February 2026 — its closest relative in 1,424 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (6 October 2026): 36 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 131 — the 92th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27, 36–37. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →26 had not appeared for 19 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 16% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,423 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 4, 36) with the draw of 7 August 2026 — its closest relative in 1,423 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (5 October 2026): 20 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 68 — the 10th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →36 had not appeared for 14 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 68% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,422 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (13, 20, 22) with the draw of 13 July 2026 — its closest relative in 1,422 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (4 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 107 — the 65th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →13 had not appeared for 15 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.6× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 3% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,421 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 4 of 5 numbers (1, 9, 29, 31) with the draw of 30 August 2025 — its closest relative in 1,421 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 38% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (3 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 91 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →9 had not appeared for 12 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 2.0× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 60 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 76% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,420 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 23, 37) with the draw of 9 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,420 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (2 October 2026): 3, 12 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 91 — the 38th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →23 had not appeared for 20 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 71% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,419 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 12, 28) with the draw of 25 June 2026 — its closest relative in 1,419 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 October 2026): 28, 34 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 88 — the 34th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 11–12. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →3 had not appeared for 16 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 187 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,418 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (6, 7, 34) with the draw of 5 September 2026 — its closest relative in 1,418 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (30 September 2026): 28, 31 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 106 — the 63th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. Side-by-side numbers: 6–7. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →6 had not appeared for 4 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 2% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Scored 62 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 80% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 186 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,417 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 14, 16) with the draw of 15 November 2025 — its closest relative in 1,417 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (29 September 2026): 28 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 99 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →10 had not appeared for 9 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →