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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
US · SC · ball game
Latest drawSunday, 11 October 2026
Jackpot$699,000
Top prizeNot won — 31 draws unwon
SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 12 Oct 2026, 02:05 UTC.
5 numbers from 1–38. 3,440 draws held here since 2010-04-08 — 938 under the current rules.
Palmetto Cash 5 changed its number pool then, which started a new era. Only the 938 draws since count towards number statistics — mixing draws from before a rule change would make any frequency meaningless.
Your numbers, read by every tool
Type the numbers you always play. Has the line ever come up? How close has Palmetto Cash 5 come? What has each number done, what does the line look like, and has the same set turned up anywhere else in the world?
Every tool, for this game
Each one opens with Palmetto Cash 5 already selected. The line under every title is true of this game’s rules right now — not a promise about its next draw.

In 2,502 draws every number is expected about 329 times, and a ball favoured by more than 21% over its share would already have shown — see which ones strayed, and how far chance allows.

A number waits 8 draws on average; 4% of the time it waits 23 or more. It is never “due”.

The 5 numbers add up to about 98, give or take 23. Most tickets sit in that bell — and so do most draws.

44.6% of draws contain two numbers side by side. That is the rules talking, not luck.

703 possible pairs, each expected together 35.6 times so far — and about 7 will look “special” by chance alone.

All 38 numbers as a constellation of who appeared with whom — indistinguishable from a shuffled sky.

53% of draws repeat a number from the draw before. A whole draw repeating: 99.8% likely by now.

Sorted, the numbers sit about 6.5 apart on average — and every “spread” you can name is exactly as likely as every other.

It takes about 31 draws for every one of the 38 numbers to appear at least once. The last few are the slow ones.

501,942 possible tickets. Every one has a face — and a typicality score you can look up.

Seven independent tests of randomness run live against all 2,502 draws. Any of them can fail; watch whether they do.

The lowest number lands near 7, the highest near 33. Position is a property of sorting, not of the balls.

5/38 rescaled onto the same axes as every other game here. One law, many machines.

Six documented cases of a beaten lottery. Not one involved patterns in past draws.

What the world believes about 7, 8, 13 and 17 — and what every machine says back.

At 30 million tickets, an average line keeps about 2% of a jackpot it wins. Unpopular numbers keep more — and still lose money.

A full wheel of 10 numbers here is 252 tickets. A guarantee is real; a profit is not.

Five folk claims about 5/38 games, each answered with the closed form that kills it — never a tip for the next draw.
Take the record with youRSSJSON feedCSV, every drawDraw nights, in your calendarAPI

This is a without-replacement ball game; the Digit Laboratory is for Pick 3 and Pick 4.
Not for this game
The Chernoff Map reads the straight tier of a digit game, which counts tickets on one exact number; a ball game has no such row.
Not for this game
This game draws once a day, so it has no second draw to compare its first with.
Not for this gameThis draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 17 March 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 31 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 329 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 2,501 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (9, 13, 20) with the draw of 17 December 2023 — its closest relative in 2,501 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (16 March 2024): 13 carried over. Chance says 53% of draws repeat at least one number.
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 48 — the 1th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 98. No two numbers side by side. 45% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →4 had not appeared for 13 draws. A number waits about 8 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.7× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈56k lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 439 winners, 25% fewer than the 588 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 | 0 | $699,000 |
| Match 4 | 8 | $300 |
| Match 3 | 439 | $5.00 |
| Match 2 | 6,071 | $1.00 |
What the top prize has been, draw by draw. It climbs while nobody wins and drops to the floor when somebody does — the sawtooth every rollover game draws.
The jackpot has gone 4 draws without a winner. The typical wait here is 22.0 draws.
Happenedwhat chance predicts
Completed waits between wins, against the geometric law those waits follow if every draw is an independent chance at the jackpot. The law takes its one parameter from the waits themselves, so this compares shape, not level.
| Draws waited | Happened | Chance says |
|---|---|---|
| 0–4 | 18 | 21.1 |
| 5–9 | 17 | 16.9 |
| 10–14 | 16 | 13.5 |
| 15–19 | 9 | 10.8 |
| 20–24 | 10 | 8.7 |
| 25–29 | 9 | 7.0 |
| 30–34 | 6 | 5.6 |
| 35–39 | 5 | 4.5 |
| 40–44 | 4 | 3.6 |
| 45–49 | 4 | 2.9 |
| 50+ | 8 | 11.5 |