Saturday, 9 June 2012

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (3, 6, 9) with the draw of 23 February 2012 — its closest relative in 340 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 99% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (7 June 2012): nothing carried over. Chance says 56% of draws repeat at least one number.

Sum and shape

The numbers add up to 33 — the 0th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 90. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 48% of draws have at least one such pair.

The longest wait in this draw

6 had not appeared for 8 draws. A number waits about 7 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.8× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 1% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.