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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 October 2026

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 1
  2. 21
  3. 44
  4. 50
  5. 57
  6. 5

Jackpot$638,600,000

The crowdHeld 96% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,423 of 1,437 under them

← 2026-10-19All recent drawsLatest on record

Also drawn that day

  • double play
    1. 7
    2. 23
    3. 31
    4. 45
    5. 59
    6. 8

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 22 Oct 2026, 08:41 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official1 21 44 50 57 + 522 Oct 2026, 08:41 UTC
  • Secondary 5official1 21 44 50 57 + 522 Oct 2026, 08:41 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed1 21 44 50 57 + 522 Oct 2026, 08:41 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 October 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

76oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 76 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 98% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd65th
  • low33th
  • widest gap51th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread75th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 103 of each

194times
21127times
44112times
50102times
57100times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

560times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,422 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (1, 44, 57) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 June 2025 — its closest relative in 1,422 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 93% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 October 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

50 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2026-10-21

  • Lines in play≈ 19Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$9.9Mto 768k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 510%$1M
  • Match 0 + Powerball24%$2.4M
  • Match 540%$4M
  • 9 other tiers25%$2.5M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Powerball0≈ 0.06 by chance$638,600,000
  2. Match 51≈ 1.6 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 + Powerball2 rows folded in10≈ 21 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4337≈ 513 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 + Powerball2 rows folded in1,142≈ 1.3k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 + Powerball2 rows folded in25,526≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 321,948≈ 32k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 + Powerball2 rows folded in201,761≈ 204k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 + Powerball2 rows folded in488,510≈ 489k by chance$4.00
  10. Match 222,495≈ 667k by chance$8.00
  11. Match 52$2,000,000
  12. Match 492$200
  13. Match 36,380$14.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈19M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 22,495 winners, 97% fewer than the 667k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 5 + Powerball0$638,600,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 4 + Powerball6$50,000
Match 4337$100
Match 3 + Powerball893$100
Match 321,948$7.00
Match 2 + Powerball19,796$7.00
Match 1 + Powerball156,233$4.00
Match 0 + Powerball377,294$4.00
Match 222,495$8.00
Match 5 (with Power Play)2$2,000,000
Match 4 + Powerball (with Power Play)4$100,000
Match 4 (with Power Play)92$200
Match 3 + Powerball (with Power Play)249$200
Match 3 (with Power Play)6,380$14.00
Match 2 + Powerball (with Power Play)5,730$14.00
Match 1 + Powerball (with Power Play)45,528$8.00
Match 0 + Powerball (with Power Play)111,216$8.00
Totals768,204—