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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$313,500,000
The crowdHeld 67% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,410 of 1,415 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 22 Sept 2026, 16:30 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 September 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 38 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 18% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 102 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,409 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 7, 17) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 29 September 2021 — its closest relative in 1,409 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (19 September 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 93 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 29 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.6× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 24% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈10M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Powerball — 1,017 winners, 47% more than the 692 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Powerball | 0 | $313,500,000 |
| Match 5 | 1 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Powerball | 8 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 | 382 | $100 |
| Match 3 plus Powerball | 781 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 22,091 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 plus Powerball | 13,255 | $7.00 |
| Match 1 plus Powerball | 89,501 | $4.00 |
| Match 0 plus Powerball | 199,682 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 | 0 | — |
| Match 5 (with Power Play) | 0 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 6 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 (with Power Play) | 151 | $200 |
| Match 3 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 236 | $200 |
| Match 3 (with Power Play) | 7,625 | $14.00 |
| Match 2 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 4,205 | $14.00 |
| Match 1 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 27,607 | $8.00 |
| Match 0 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 61,900 | $8.00 |