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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 19 August 2026

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 10
  2. 21
  3. 58
  4. 61
  5. 64
  6. 17

Jackpot$48,400,000

The crowdHeld 95% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,396 of 1,429 under them

← 2026-08-17All recent draws2026-08-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official10 21 58 61 64 + 174 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
  • Secondary 5official10 21 58 61 64 + 174 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed10 21 58 61 64 + 174 Oct 2026, 12:00 UTC
  • Resolved on main numbers — raised 23 Aug 2026, 15:42 UTC, resolved 23 Aug 2026, 16:10 UTC.

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 19 August 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

53oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 53 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 50% of every possible ticket.

  • sum81th
  • odd33th
  • low33th
  • widest gap92th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread69th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 101 of each

1093times
21123times
5895times
61124times
64122times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 54 of each

1744times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,395 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (10, 58, 61) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 November 2024 — its closest relative in 1,395 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

214

The numbers add up to 214 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

21 had not appeared for 24 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 37% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2026-08-19

  • Lines in play≈ 9.2Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.8Mto 377k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 + Powerball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 + Powerball22%$600.0K
  • Match 1 + Powerball18%$483.4K
  • Match 0 + Powerball44%$1.2M
  • 7 other tiers17%$469.2K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 + Powerball0≈ 0.03 by chance$48,400,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.78 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 + Powerball2 rows folded in10≈ 10 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4165≈ 251 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 + Powerball2 rows folded in577≈ 631 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 + Powerball2 rows folded in11,832≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 313,354≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 + Powerball2 rows folded in95,416≈ 100k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 + Powerball2 rows folded in238,824≈ 239k by chance$4.00
  10. Match 211,258≈ 326k by chance$8.00
  11. Match 50$2,000,000
  12. Match 483$200
  13. Match 35,282$14.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈9.2M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 — 11,258 winners, 97% fewer than the 326k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 5 + Powerball0$48,400,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 4 + Powerball8$50,000
Match 4165$100
Match 3 + Powerball415$100
Match 313,354$7.00
Match 2 + Powerball8,700$7.00
Match 1 + Powerball69,990$4.00
Match 0 + Powerball175,315$4.00
Match 211,258$8.00
Match 5 (with Power Play)0$2,000,000
Match 4 + Powerball (with Power Play)2$100,000
Match 4 (with Power Play)83$200
Match 3 + Powerball (with Power Play)162$200
Match 3 (with Power Play)5,282$14.00
Match 2 + Powerball (with Power Play)3,132$14.00
Match 1 + Powerball (with Power Play)25,426$8.00
Match 0 + Powerball (with Power Play)63,509$8.00
Totals376,801—