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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$499,200,000
The crowdHeld 39% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,381 of 1,429 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 15 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 36 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 15% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,380 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 18, 38) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 March 2026 — its closest relative in 1,380 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (13 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 94 — the 3th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →7 had not appeared for 43 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.4× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 26% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈13M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Powerball — 1,141 winners, 27% more than the 895 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Powerball | 0 | $499,200,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Powerball | 16 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 | 380 | $100 |
| Match 3 plus Powerball | 911 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 23,718 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 plus Powerball | 15,720 | $7.00 |
| Match 1 plus Powerball | 112,604 | $4.00 |
| Match 0 plus Powerball | 258,933 | $4.00 |
| Match 5 (with Power Play) | 1 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 5 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 (with Power Play) | 119 | $200 |
| Match 3 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 230 | $200 |
| Match 3 (with Power Play) | 8,155 | $14.00 |
| Match 2 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 5,098 | $14.00 |
| Match 1 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 34,976 | $8.00 |
| Match 0 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 79,718 | $8.00 |
| Totals | 540,584 | — |