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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$402,700,000
The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,376 of 1,430 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 4 July 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 58 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 62% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 100 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 1,375 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 38, 69) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 6 June 2020 — its closest relative in 1,375 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 92% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (1 July 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 220 — the 84th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →69 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 20,175 winners, 26% fewer than the 27k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably less popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 5 plus Powerball | 0 | $402,700,000 |
| Match 5 | 0 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Powerball | 9 | $50,000 |
| Match 4 | 319 | $100 |
| Match 3 plus Powerball | 845 | $100 |
| Match 3 | 20,175 | $7.00 |
| Match 2 plus Powerball | 16,388 | $7.00 |
| Match 1 plus Powerball | 127,959 | $4.00 |
| Match 0 plus Powerball | 313,709 | $4.00 |
| Match 5 (with Power Play) | 0 | $2,000,000 |
| Match 4 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 7 | $100,000 |
| Match 4 (with Power Play) | 100 | $200 |
| Match 3 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 267 | $200 |
| Match 3 (with Power Play) | 6,183 | $14.00 |
| Match 2 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 4,986 | $14.00 |
| Match 1 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 38,889 | $8.00 |
| Match 0 plus Powerball (with Power Play) | 96,487 | $8.00 |
| Totals | 626,323 | — |