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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 2 March 2026

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 17
  3. 18
  4. 38
  5. 62
  6. 20

Jackpot$250,800,000

The crowdHeld 7% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 1,323 of 1,432 under them

← 2026-02-28All recent draws2026-03-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official2 17 18 38 62 + 2023 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official2 17 18 38 62 + 2023 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 17 18 38 62 + 208 Oct 2026, 07:07 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 March 2026 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

46oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 46 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 31% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd10th
  • low65th
  • widest gap55th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread86th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 96 of each

296times
1790times
1896times
3888times
62109times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 51 of each

2055times

Every number was expected about that many times after 1,322 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 17, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 February 2025 — its closest relative in 1,322 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 91% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (28 February 2026): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

137

The numbers add up to 137 — the 19th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

17 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2026-03-02

  • Lines in play≈ 6.6Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$252.1Mto 267k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1 winnerchance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball99%$250.8M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball0.1%$293.3K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball0.3%$684.2K
  • 5 other tiers0.1%$366.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1≈ 0.02 by chance$250,800,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.56 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball3≈ 7.2 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4190≈ 179 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball453≈ 452 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,541≈ 9.3k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 312,151≈ 11k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,336≈ 71k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball171,055≈ 171k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈6.6M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 12,151 winners, 7% more than the 11k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball171,055$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball73,336$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,541$7.00
Match 312,151$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball453$100
Match 4190$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball3$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball1$250,800,000