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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 3 January 2024

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 30
  2. 31
  3. 38
  4. 48
  5. 68
  6. 8

Jackpot$20,000,000

The crowdHeld 21% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 985 of 1,432 under them

← 2024-01-01All recent draws2024-01-06 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official30 31 38 48 68 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official30 31 38 48 68 + 823 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed30 31 38 48 68 + 829 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 3 January 2024 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

45oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 45 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 29% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd10th
  • low33th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each

3068times
3164times
3868times
4862times
6876times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 38 of each

835times

Every number was expected about that many times after 984 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (38, 48, 68) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 22 May 2023 — its closest relative in 984 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (1 January 2024): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

215

The numbers add up to 215 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 30–31. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

48 had not appeared for 35 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.9× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 38% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2024-01-03

  • Lines in play≈ 7.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.7Mto 306k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball21%$350.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$320.8K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball48%$817.7K
  • 4 other tiers12%$208.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance$20,000,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.67 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball7≈ 8.6 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4166≈ 214 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball477≈ 541 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,892≈ 11k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 310,630≈ 14k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball80,190≈ 85k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball204,428≈ 204k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈7.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 10,630 winners, 21% fewer than the 14k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball204,428$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball80,190$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball9,892$7.00
Match 310,630$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball477$100
Match 4166$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball7$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$20,000,000