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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Loading…
Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.
Powerball · draw
ResultPowerball
Jackpot$626,400,000
The crowdHeld 12% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick
Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at
Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 980 of 1,430 under them
Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.
This draw, read by every tool
What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 December 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.
Scored 39 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 19% of every possible ticket.
Times drawn before — chance expected 71 of each
Every number was expected about that many times after 979 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.
Frequency Explorer →Shares 3 of 5 numbers (14, 17, 18) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 January 2022 — its closest relative in 979 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 83% likelihood somewhere in that history.
From the draw just before (20 December 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).
Carry-over / Déjà Vu →The numbers add up to 111 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 17–18. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.
Sum Distribution →17 had not appeared for 55 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.
Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →A line like this is played about 1.3× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 28% of the jackpot.
Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.
The Unpopular Numbers Edge →Where the money went
The rings take the ≈31M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 4 — 963 winners, 15% more than the 836 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.
| Match | Winners | Prize each |
|---|---|---|
| Match 0 plus Bonus Ball | 796,472 | $4.00 |
| Match 1 plus Bonus Ball | 345,212 | $4.00 |
| Match 2 plus Bonus Ball | 47,372 | $7.00 |
| Match 3 | 59,215 | $7.00 |
| Match 3 plus Bonus Ball | 2,362 | $100 |
| Match 4 | 963 | $100 |
| Match 4 plus Bonus Ball | 32 | $50,000 |
| Match 5 | 2 | $1,000,000 |
| Match 5 plus Bonus Ball | 0 | $626,400,000 |