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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 2 October 2023

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 12
  2. 26
  3. 27
  4. 43
  5. 47
  6. 5

Jackpot$1,066,200,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 945 of 1,430 under them

← 2023-09-30All recent draws2023-10-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official12 26 27 43 47 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official12 26 27 43 47 + 523 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed12 26 27 43 47 + 529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 2 October 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

51oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 51 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 44% of every possible ticket.

  • sum33th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread18th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 68 of each

1268times
2656times
2774times
4359times
4775times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 36 of each

538times

Every number was expected about that many times after 944 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (26, 27, 43) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 March 2023 — its closest relative in 944 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 82% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (30 September 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

155

The numbers add up to 155 — the 32th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 26–27. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

43 had not appeared for 34 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 33% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-10-02

  • Lines in play≈ 54Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$15.4Mto 2.2M winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.19

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball23%$3.5M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball16%$2.4M
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37%$5.7M
  • 5 other tiers24%$3.8M
Tier1101001k10k100k1M10MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1B10BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.19 by chance$1,066,200,000
  2. Match 52≈ 4.6 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball70≈ 59 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 41,445≈ 1.5k by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,937≈ 3.7k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball80,927≈ 77k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 393,306≈ 94k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball606,917≈ 590k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,416,498≈ 1.4M by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈54M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 3,937 winners, 5% more than the 3.7k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball1,416,498$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball606,917$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball80,927$7.00
Match 393,306$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball3,937$100
Match 41,445$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball70$50,000
Match 52$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$1,066,200,000