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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 20 February 2023

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 3
  2. 17
  3. 26
  4. 38
  5. 54
  6. 15

Jackpot$88,200,000

The crowdHeld 16% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 849 of 1,432 under them

← 2023-02-18All recent draws2023-02-22 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official3 17 26 38 54 + 1523 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official3 17 26 38 54 + 1523 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed3 17 26 38 54 + 1529 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 20 February 2023 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

61oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 61 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 72% of every possible ticket.

  • sum20th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap19th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread59th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 61 of each

365times
1763times
2647times
3855times
5460times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

1526times

Every number was expected about that many times after 848 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (17, 26, 54) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 27 January 2018 — its closest relative in 848 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 79% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (18 February 2023): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

138

The numbers add up to 138 — the 20th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

3 had not appeared for 57 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2023-02-20

  • Lines in play≈ 5.5Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.3Mto 226k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 543%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13%$300.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball25%$574.4K
  • 5 other tiers19%$447.6K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance$88,200,000
  2. Match 51≈ 0.47 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6≈ 6.0 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4192≈ 151 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball426≈ 380 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,379≈ 7.8k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 311,033≈ 9.5k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball62,470≈ 60k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball143,600≈ 144k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈5.5M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 11,033 winners, 16% more than the 9.5k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little more popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball143,600$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball62,470$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball8,379$7.00
Match 311,033$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball426$100
Match 4192$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6$50,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$88,200,000