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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Monday, 8 August 2022

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 32
  2. 45
  3. 51
  4. 57
  5. 58
  6. 12

Jackpot$27,200,000

The crowdHeld 23% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 765 of 1,432 under them

← 2022-08-06All recent draws2022-08-10 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official32 45 51 57 58 + 1223 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official32 45 51 57 58 + 1223 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed32 45 51 57 58 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 August 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

27oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 27 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 6% of every possible ticket.

  • sum94th
  • odd65th
  • low10th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread6th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

3274times
4554times
5147times
5756times
5850times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

1223times

Every number was expected about that many times after 764 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (45, 57, 58) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 16 June 2018 — its closest relative in 764 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (6 August 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

243

The numbers add up to 243 — the 94th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 57–58. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 23 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-08-08

  • Lines in play≈ 4.8Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$1.0Mto 183k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.02

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$200.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball18%$183.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball50%$500.3K
  • 4 other tiers12%$121.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.02 by chance$27,200,000
  2. Match 50≈ 0.41 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball4≈ 5.2 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 499≈ 131 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball263≈ 331 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball5,739≈ 6.8k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 36,379≈ 8.3k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,744≈ 52k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball125,071≈ 125k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈4.8M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 6,379 winners, 23% fewer than the 8.3k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball125,071$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball45,744$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball5,739$7.00
Match 36,379$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball263$100
Match 499$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball4$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$27,200,000