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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 23 July 2022

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 39
  2. 41
  3. 54
  4. 59
  5. 62
  6. 12

Jackpot$122,900,000

The crowdHeld 16% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 758 of 1,430 under them

← 2022-07-20All recent draws2022-07-25 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official39 41 54 59 62 + 1223 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official39 41 54 59 62 + 1223 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed39 41 54 59 62 + 1229 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 23 July 2022 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

30oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 30 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 8% of every possible ticket.

  • sum97th
  • odd65th
  • low1th
  • widest gap9th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread4th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 55 of each

3966times
4157times
5452times
5963times
6265times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

1221times

Every number was expected about that many times after 757 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (39, 54, 59) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 25 August 2021 — its closest relative in 757 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 75% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (20 July 2022): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

255

The numbers add up to 255 — the 97th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

54 had not appeared for 75 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.7× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 46% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2022-07-23

  • Lines in play≈ 15Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.1Mto 564k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 524%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball15%$600.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball37%$1.5M
  • 5 other tiers24%$969.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance$122,900,000
  2. Match 51≈ 1.2 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12≈ 16 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4333≈ 398 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball857≈ 1.0k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,245≈ 21k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 321,174≈ 25k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball143,646≈ 158k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball379,662≈ 380k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈15M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,174 winners, 16% fewer than the 25k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball379,662$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball143,646$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball18,245$7.00
Match 321,174$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball857$100
Match 4333$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball12$50,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$122,900,000