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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 18 December 2021

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 6
  3. 24
  4. 51
  5. 61
  6. 1

Jackpot$352,200,000

The crowdHeld 6% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 665 of 1,432 under them

← 2021-12-15All recent draws2021-12-20 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official2 6 24 51 61 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official2 6 24 51 61 + 123 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 6 24 51 61 + 129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 18 December 2021 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

59oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 59 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 65% of every possible ticket.

  • sum24th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap68th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 48 of each

242times
645times
2436times
5139times
6163times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 26 of each

124times

Every number was expected about that many times after 664 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 24, 51) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 13 December 2017 — its closest relative in 664 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 70% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (15 December 2021): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

144

The numbers add up to 144 — the 24th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

61 had not appeared for 41 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 31% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2021-12-18

  • Lines in play≈ 18Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.0Mto 711k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.06

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$800.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$773.5K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball46%$1.8M
  • 4 other tiers14%$576.5K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.06 by chance$352,200,000
  2. Match 50≈ 1.5 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16≈ 19 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4493≈ 481 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,224≈ 1.2k by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,624≈ 25k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 332,199≈ 30k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball193,378≈ 191k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball458,392≈ 458k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈18M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 32,199 winners, 6% more than the 30k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball458,392$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball193,378$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball25,624$7.00
Match 332,199$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball1,224$100
Match 4493$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16$50,000
Match 50$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$352,200,000