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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 8 August 2020

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 2
  2. 3
  3. 14
  4. 40
  5. 51
  6. 24

Jackpot$157,600,000

The crowdHeld 8% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 506 of 1,432 under them

← 2020-08-05All recent draws2020-08-12 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official2 3 14 40 51 + 2423 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official2 3 14 40 51 + 2423 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed2 3 14 40 51 + 2429 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 8 August 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

57oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 57 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 61% of every possible ticket.

  • sum7th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap64th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread53th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 37 of each

233times
343times
1439times
4035times
5125times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 19 of each

2427times

Every number was expected about that many times after 505 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (2, 3, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 10 February 2016 — its closest relative in 505 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 60% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (5 August 2020): 14 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: 24 repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

110

The numbers add up to 110 — the 7th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 2–3. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 46 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 30% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-08-08

  • Lines in play≈ 12Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.8Mto 483k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 542%$2.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball14%$650.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball26%$1.2M
  • 5 other tiers19%$933.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance$157,600,000
  2. Match 52≈ 1.0 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4326≈ 322 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball837≈ 812 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,959≈ 17k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 321,965≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball134,315≈ 128k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball307,152≈ 307k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈12M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 21,965 winners, 8% more than the 20k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball307,152$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball134,315$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball17,959$7.00
Match 321,965$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball837$100
Match 4326$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13$50,000
Match 52$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$157,600,000