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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 29 February 2020

ResultPowerball

Verified
  1. 24
  2. 44
  3. 46
  4. 50
  5. 51
  6. 13

Jackpot$80,000,000

The crowdHeld 18% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 460 of 1,432 under them

← 2020-02-26All recent draws2020-03-04 →

Where this result came from

Sources3 independent sources agree, 2 official. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Secondary 4official24 44 46 50 51 + 1323 Aug 2026, 15:39 UTC
  • Secondary 5official24 44 46 50 51 + 1323 Aug 2026, 15:40 UTC
  • Primarycommercial feed24 44 46 50 51 + 1329 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 29 February 2020 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

32oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 32 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 10% of every possible ticket.

  • sum82th
  • odd10th
  • low10th
  • widest gap36th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread7th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 33 of each

2430times
4432times
4624times
5033times
5124times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 18 of each

1321times

Every number was expected about that many times after 459 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (24, 44) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 11 December 2019 — its closest relative in 459 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (26 February 2020): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

215

The numbers add up to 215 — the 81th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 50–51. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 0.8× as often as an average ticket — less popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 42% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →

Prize breakdown · 2020-02-29

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$3.5Mto 444k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 26lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 529%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball16%$550.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34%$1.2M
  • 5 other tiers22%$755.9K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.04 by chance$80,000,000
  2. Match 51≈ 0.98 by chance$1,000,000
  3. Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11≈ 13 by chance$50,000
  4. Match 4239≈ 313 by chance$100
  5. Match 3 plus Bonus Ball598≈ 788 by chance$100
  6. Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,441≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  7. Match 316,166≈ 20k by chance$7.00
  8. Match 1 plus Bonus Ball114,490≈ 124k by chance$4.00
  9. Match 0 plus Bonus Ball297,853≈ 298k by chance$4.00
  • Winners, log scale
  • Prize each, log scale
  • Where chance put the count

The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 598 winners, 24% fewer than the 788 an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were a little less popular than average — that is the crowd, not the machine.

Show the published table
MatchWinnersPrize each
Match 0 plus Bonus Ball297,853$4.00
Match 1 plus Bonus Ball114,490$4.00
Match 2 plus Bonus Ball14,441$7.00
Match 316,166$7.00
Match 3 plus Bonus Ball598$100
Match 4239$100
Match 4 plus Bonus Ball11$50,000
Match 51$1,000,000
Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$80,000,000