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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 21 August 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 12
  2. 21
  3. 22
  4. 29
  5. 32
  6. 21

Jackpot$40,000,000

The crowdHeld 36% more than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 405 of 1,430 under them

← 2019-08-17All recent draws2019-08-24 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed12 21 22 29 32 + 2129 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 21 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

21oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 21 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 2% of every possible ticket.

  • sum9th
  • odd33th
  • low99th
  • widest gap2th
  • neighbours86th
  • spread2th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

1230times
2133times
2226times
2929times
32

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-21

  • Lines in play≈ 7.3Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.7Mto 309k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 24lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.03

Where the money went

  • Match 537%$1.0M
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball13%$349.2K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball28%$766.8K
  • 5 other tiers22%$596.1K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100MPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.03 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

44times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 16 of each

2122times

Every number was expected about that many times after 404 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (12, 21, 32) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 26 January 2019 — its closest relative in 404 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 52% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (17 August 2019): 21 carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

116

The numbers add up to 116 — the 9th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. Side-by-side numbers: 21–22. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

12 had not appeared for 38 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.2× as often as an average ticket — more popular than most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 29% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$40,000,000
  • Match 51≈ 0.63 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6≈ 8.0 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4300≈ 201 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball596≈ 507 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,274≈ 10k by chance$7.00
  • Match 317,228≈ 13k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball87,290≈ 80k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball191,692≈ 192k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈7.3M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 — 17,228 winners, 36% more than the 13k an even spread gives. The numbers drawn were noticeably more popular than average — a draw full of birthdays makes more small winners, a draw of high numbers fewer. That is the crowd, not the machine.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball191,692$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball87,290$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball12,274$7.00
    Match 317,228$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball596$100
    Match 4300$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball6$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$40,000,000