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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Wednesday, 14 August 2019

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 10
  2. 13
  3. 30
  4. 51
  5. 69
  6. 10

Jackpot$138,000,000

The crowdHeld 3% less than an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 403 of 1,430 under them

← 2019-08-10All recent draws2019-08-17 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed10 13 30 51 69 + 1029 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 14 August 2019 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

71oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 71 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 93% of every possible ticket.

  • sum48th
  • odd65th
  • low65th
  • widest gap41th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread84th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 29 of each

1031times
1325times
3026times
5119times
69

Prize breakdown · 2019-08-14

  • Lines in play≈ 11Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$2.7Mto 455k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.04

Where the money went

  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball24%$650.0K
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball19%$503.9K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball44%$1.2M
  • 4 other tiers13%$355.0K
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

41times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 15 of each

1017times

Every number was expected about that many times after 402 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 2 of 5 numbers (10, 30) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 8 August 2018 — its closest relative in 402 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 100% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (10 August 2019): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

173

The numbers add up to 173 — the 48th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

51 had not appeared for 50 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.1× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 32% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
≈ 0.04 by chance
$138,000,000
  • Match 50≈ 0.96 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13≈ 12 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4271≈ 307 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball788≈ 774 by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,760≈ 16k by chance$7.00
  • Match 318,825≈ 19k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball125,979≈ 122k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball292,742≈ 293k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈11M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 2 plus Bonus Ball — 16,760 winners, 5% more than the 16k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball292,742$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball125,979$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball16,760$7.00
    Match 318,825$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball788$100
    Match 4271$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball13$50,000
    Match 50$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$138,000,000