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Reading the draws and working out what chance predicts.

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Powerball · draw

Saturday, 22 December 2018

ResultPowerball

Single source
  1. 21
  2. 28
  3. 30
  4. 40
  5. 59
  6. 26

Jackpot$276,700,000

The crowdHeld about as often as an average linefrom the prize table, not from a model of how people pick

Top prizeNot wonnext draw advertised at

Rules5/69 + 1/26 · since Oct 2015draw 336 of 1,430 under them

← 2018-12-19All recent draws2018-12-26 →

Where this result came from

SourcesOnly Primary (commercial feed) reported this draw, so there is nothing to check it against. Settled 29 Aug 2026, 09:53 UTC.

  • Primarycommercial feed21 28 30 40 59 + 2629 Aug 2026, 09:34 UTC

This draw, read by every tool

What the site’s explorations say about the numbers drawn on 22 December 2018 — each beside what chance predicted. None of it says anything about the next draw.

69oddordinary

How ordinary this draw is

Scored 69 of 100 across six shape features — more typical than about 90% of every possible ticket.

  • sum53th
  • odd33th
  • low65th
  • widest gap31th
  • neighbours37th
  • spread24th
Draw Fingerprints →

Each number, as it stood before this draw

Times drawn before — chance expected 24 of each

2125times
2835times
3021times
4025times
59

Prize breakdown · 2018-12-22

  • Lines in play≈ 16Mas the winner counts imply
  • Paid out$4.7Mto 622k winning lines
  • Won something1 in 25lines took a prize
  • Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0 winnerschance said 0.05

Where the money went

  • Match 521%$1.0M
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball20%$950.0K
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball34%$1.6M
  • 5 other tiers24%$1.1M
Tier1101001k10k100k1MWinners1101001k10k100k1M10M100M1BPrize each
  1. Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0≈ 0.05 by chance

Play these numbers? Read them as your ticket →

24times
Stars · a separate 1-of-26 machine

Times drawn before — chance expected 13 of each

2613times

Every number was expected about that many times after 335 draws, and they scatter around it. Warm means more than expected, cool means fewer — and a cold number arriving is exactly what cold numbers do.

Frequency Explorer →

Its nearest twin

Shares 3 of 5 numbers (28, 30, 40) and 0 of 1 stars with the draw of 2 April 2016 — its closest relative in 335 draws. Chance gave a match this close a 46% likelihood somewhere in that history.

From the draw just before (19 December 2018): nothing carried over. Chance says 32% of draws repeat at least one number. Stars: none repeated (4% expected).

Carry-over / Déjà Vu →

Sum and shape

178

The numbers add up to 178 — the 52th percentile of all possible tickets, around a middle of 175. No two numbers side by side. 27% of draws have at least one such pair.

Sum Distribution →

The longest wait in this draw

30 had not appeared for 25 draws. A number waits about 14 on average, and a wait this long was not a signal — the machine has no memory of it.

Gap & “Overdue” Tracker →

How many people held it

A line like this is played about 1.0× as often as an average ticket — about as popular as most. At 30 million tickets sold, a winner on these numbers would keep about 34% of the jackpot.

Illustrative model, calibrated to published studies — not live sales.

The Unpopular Numbers Edge →
$276,700,000
  • Match 51≈ 1.3 by chance$1,000,000
  • Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19≈ 17 by chance$50,000
  • Match 4387≈ 425 by chance$100
  • Match 3 plus Bonus Ball998≈ 1.1k by chance$100
  • Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,647≈ 22k by chance$7.00
  • Match 326,284≈ 27k by chance$7.00
  • Match 1 plus Bonus Ball167,775≈ 169k by chance$4.00
  • Match 0 plus Bonus Ball405,294≈ 405k by chance$4.00
    • Winners, log scale
    • Prize each, log scale
    • Where chance put the count

    The rings take the ≈16M lines the counts imply and assume an evenly spread crowd. Furthest from that: Match 3 plus Bonus Ball — 998 winners, 7% fewer than the 1.1k an even spread gives. The real crowd and an even spread agreed closely on this draw.

    Show the published table
    MatchWinnersPrize each
    Match 0 plus Bonus Ball405,294$4.00
    Match 1 plus Bonus Ball167,775$4.00
    Match 2 plus Bonus Ball21,647$7.00
    Match 326,284$7.00
    Match 3 plus Bonus Ball998$100
    Match 4387$100
    Match 4 plus Bonus Ball19$50,000
    Match 51$1,000,000
    Match 5 plus Bonus Ball0$276,700,000